This book is designed as an introduction to the modeling of infectious diseases. We start
with the simplest of mathematical models and show how the inclusion of appropriate
elements of biological complexity leads to improved understanding of disease dynamics
and control. Throughout, our emphasis is on the development of models, and their use
either as predictive tools or as a means of understanding fundamental epidemiological
processes. Although many theoretical results can be proved analytically for very simple
models, we have generally focused on results obtained by computer simulation, providing
analytical results only where they lead to a more generic interpretation of model behavior.
Where practical, we have illustrated the general modeling principles with applied examples
from the recent literature. We hope this book motivates readers to develop their own models
for diseases of interest, expanding on the model frameworks given here.
2021-07-05 14:10:07
23.9MB
模型选择
1